After the Meeting: Whales Start to Move || Oct 30, 2025
Bitcoin steadies near $110K after the Trump-Xi talks and a hawkish-sounding Powell spark volatility.
🪙 Crypto Market Overview
Bitcoin initially fell after the Trump–Xi meeting ended without any statement or sign of progress — but later stabilized when President Trump announced plans to cut tariffs on Chinese goods as part of a new trade-relief framework.
Markets treated the silence as a classic sell-the-fact moment, extending the shakeout below $108K. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve confirmed the end of QT in December, though Powell’s cautious tone and split-vote comments left investors uneasy.
Despite the noise, liquidity conditions are set to improve into year-end — and smart money appears to be quietly positioning for it.
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⚙️ Technical Picture
The rejection from $116K triggered the sell-off many anticipated.
Key setups now:
Support Zone: $106K–$111K — includes the 200-day MA and Fibonacci support.
Bounce Case: Close above $111K could end the pullback and target $120K +.
Break Case: A move below $108K opens risk toward the $101K area.
Whales taking profit from 116K shorts down to 106K would fit their usual 10K-step pattern.
📊 On-Chain & Market Flow
Spot Bids Return: Fresh buying interest appeared after Powell’s press conference — a sign of institutional support around $106K–$110K.
Retail Still Long: We likely need retail to turn bearish before a new pump can start.
Our model shows momentum weakening but nearing a turn. Challenger is close to a lower-time-frame buy signal for BTC and ETH.
ETH Edge: Ethereum never entered the risk zone and remains structurally stronger than BTC on momentum signals.
🔗 On-Chain Signals
Santiment data shows bullish divergences on Daily Active Addresses and a decline in Bitcoin’s Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) — a powerful sign that long-dormant coins are moving again.
Historically, this pattern precedes major trend reversals as capital rotates back into the market.
💬 Final Thoughts
A volatile 24 hours — but the structure remains intact.
If $106K–$110K holds, the case for a major reaccumulation phase strengthens into December’s liquidity turn.
If it breaks, the final flush could be the last before new highs.
🎯 Strategy Outlook
Short-Term (Days): Neutral / Volatile
Medium-Term (Weeks): Bullish above $120K
Long-Term (Months): Cycle target ~ $230K unless $72K fails
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