Bitcoin Rebounds Toward $115K as Traders Eye China–U.S. Trade Thaw || Oct 13, 2025
Market stabilizes after Friday’s flash crash; technicals hint at bullish divergence forming
🪙 Crypto Market Overview
Bitcoin has climbed back toward 115,000 USD, recovering some of last week’s losses after comments from President Trump and Senator JD Vance signaled a willingness to seek progress on China trade talks. The remarks helped calm markets after a chaotic sell-off that many traders viewed as manipulated and liquidity-driven.
U.S. futures are trading higher on the news, while Chinese equities remain cautious, reflecting skepticism about any near-term breakthrough. For crypto, the key test will come as U.S. markets reopen — last Friday’s breakdown in the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones still looms large.
📊 Technical Picture
Bitcoin’s recovery has so far been supported by two layers of bullish divergence on momentum charts:
The first layer completed at 115,100 USD.
The second, stronger signal sits near 119,800 USD, marking the next key target zone.
Immediate support rests around 113,700 USD, last Friday’s rebound high.
Holding above this level keeps the structure bullish.
A breakdown below would re-expose the 109,000 USD zone.
As it stands, a retest of 113,700 USD followed by a rebound toward 119,800 USD appears the most probable short-term setup.
💹 Price Projections
The large spot bids that emerged over the weekend remain a central narrative.
According to order book data, bid size and depth now rival those seen at prior market lows, implying a potential breakout toward 140,000 USD if momentum continues.
For now, confidence remains fragile — many traders are still hesitant to rotate into smaller-cap coins after Friday’s volatility. The focus remains on BTC and ETH, which tend to lead recoveries following major washouts.
🌐 Bullish Hints and Market Structure
Several macro and technical indicators support the rebound thesis:
The USDT market cap dominance chart has rolled over, flashing sell signals that typically coincide with crypto inflows.
The megaphone structure on the total crypto market cap chart shows that the price has bounced from its lower boundary around 3.7T USD. Historically, this has preceded a move toward the upper band — potentially doubling current valuations.
On-chain metrics show a full reset in Bitcoin’s profit ratio, often a precursor to a new trending phase.
Additionally, daily active addresses (DAA) have surged, projecting an upside move toward the 122,000 USD area.
🪙 Altcoin Watch
Following last week’s collapse, altcoin sentiment remains cautious. The focus is on ETH and SOL — the core assets in the 2025 signal strategy.
ETH appears to have completed its downside reset and may now target 5,550 USD.
The reversal structure and renewed momentum suggest that “blue skies” could lie ahead if market conditions remain stable.
🎯 Strategy Outlook
Short-Term (Days): Pending. BTC retested the prior entry near 115K; waiting for confirmation before issuing new signals.
Medium-Term (Weeks): Long bias remains; structure improves significantly above 120K. Profit zones remain 140K–160K.
Long-Term (Months): Cycle projection toward 230K intact unless 72K fails.
🧭 Strategy Notes
The post-crash rebound looks sustainable if 113.7K holds.
Bullish divergence layers support continued upside.
Spot bid depth consistent with prior market bottoming phases.
Watch 120K breakout — that level could trigger renewed confidence.
🔑 Key Takeaways
BTC rebounds to 115K amid renewed U.S.–China trade optimism
Two bullish divergences point to potential upside toward 119.8K
Spot bids suggest accumulation by large buyers
On-chain metrics reset and strengthen the rebound case
Altcoins cautious, with ETH leading potential recovery plays
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