Bitcoin Tracks NASDAQ as Rebound Tests Critical Levels || Nov 25, 2025
Bitcoin holds above 88K as the NASDAQ rebound lifts sentiment, but the 91K–94K zone will decide whether this recovery can extend or fail.
🪙 Crypto Market Overview
Bitcoin has climbed back above 88,000 USD, helped by the NASDAQ posting its strongest session since May. Rate-cut expectations have surged to 80%, following a series of dovish remarks from Fed officials. Option markets show hedging on both sides, but year-end call open interest remains dominant, and negative funding across majors signals long leverage has already been flushed.
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⚙️ Technical Picture
Bitcoin continues to move in lockstep with risk assets. The NASDAQ’s path remains key: charts point toward a move to 25,100, followed by a deeper sell-off before recovering in December. This mirrors Bitcoin’s own structure, with a similar large head-and-shoulders formation lurking in the background.
BTC likely retests 91,000 USD first. A rejection there would be a warning shot. The healthier scenario would be a push into the 93,000–94,000 USD zone. Failure to reach that region keeps the bearish case alive.
Liquidation heatmaps agree: 91,000 USD is the first magnet, with deeper pockets above.
📊 On-Chain & Market Flow
A broader market proxy emerges through HYPE (Hyperliquid), which shows heavy liquidations waiting near 38 USD, and a long-flush zone all the way to 20 USD. It may act as a guide for both where this rally could stall and how deep the next drop might reach.
Our model is finally beginning to ease from extreme readings, hinting at early pressure relief. But the picture isn’t uniform: altcoins remain far from their own stress zones, suggesting they may still have unfinished business on the downside if Bitcoin rolls over.
💬 Final Thoughts
Today’s PPI data adds another layer to the inflation narrative. With the Thanksgiving-thinned liquidity ahead, a NASDAQ pullback after bullish targets are hit seems likely. Traders may avoid holding heavy risk into the long weekend, making BTC’s reaction at 91K–94K especially critical.
🎯 Strategy Outlook
Short-Term: Pending
Conditions are slowly improving, but a single day isn’t enough. Preparing for potential signals in BTC and HYPE if momentum confirms.
Medium-Term: Pending
Prefer buying the next dip — but only after seeing how high BTC reaches in this rebound.
Long-Term: Long
Considering exiting the legacy position on a small gain this week and reallocating lower if the expected move unfolds.
Entry: 79,000 USD • Stop: 65,000 USD • Target: 180,000 USD
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