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🇺🇸 Momentum Improves — But On-Chain Still Flashes Warning

Bitcoin’s short-term bias has shifted higher, yet on-chain divergences and whale positioning argue that the broader structure remains fragile.

Feb 16, 2026
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🪙 Crypto Market Overview

Bitcoin advanced last week, and our broader momentum model suggests the immediate path of least resistance has tilted higher.

At the same time, underlying on-chain activity continues to paint a far less convincing picture. This divergence between price recovery and blockchain participation is worth taking seriously.

Adding to the near-term constructive tone, stablecoin dominance is showing a short-term exhaustion setup, which typically aligns with Bitcoin upside. However, the higher-timeframe structure still allows for extended consolidation — potentially lasting weeks or even months if price mirrors prior weekly patterns.

In short: short-term momentum is improving, but the bigger structure has not reset.

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