Special Analysis: Bitcoin’s Hidden Crossroads — Is the Cycle Nearing Its True Bottom?

This deep-dive report is part of the Special Analysis series, available exclusively to paid subscribers.

Exclusive Market Outlook — October Edition

After last Friday’s crypto sell-off, markets have entered a tense consolidation phase, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both hovering near crucial technical thresholds. What was once expected to be a strong October rebound has faded, as traders now confront tightening liquidity and shifting macro narratives.

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🪙 Macro & Market Context

Recent commentary from the Federal Reserve struck a dovish tone — hinting at a possible rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening. Yet, instead of fueling risk assets, the momentum has favored gold and silver, which have quietly become 2025’s best-performing alternatives.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has held firm, underscoring investors’ cautious stance. The final week of October brings key catalysts: CPI data and corporate earnings, both likely to determine whether equities extend their rebound — and whether crypto gets another shot at $150K before year-end.

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📉 Bitcoin Technical Picture

Following last week’s crash, Bitcoin has been testing the lower bounds of its consolidation channel. Large bids have re-appeared on major exchanges — a typical sign of accumulation during sharp pullbacks.