Year-End Drift: Bitcoin Stalls as Leverage Tilts the Odds Lower
BTC remains range-bound into the yearly close, with leverage and retail positioning pointing to a possible final dip before 2026 sets its tone.
🪙 Crypto Market Overview
Bitcoin continues to go nowhere fast into the yearly close. The most probable window for any meaningful movement remains Friday onward this week.
Liquidation data highlights a high likelihood of a probe toward 86,600 USD to clear leveraged longs. Leverage metrics show highly leveraged traders are predominantly long into year-end, increasing the odds of a further dip — potentially below 86,000 USD — before direction resolves.
Retail participation has increased relative to whales. Historically, aggressive retail accumulation late in ranges often coincides with lower prices first, as positioning resets.
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